Co-chairs Rebecca Timmer and Richard Rosales opened the meeting and introduced the Committee to Mike Noble, Founder and CEO of Noble Predictive Insights (NPI), who presented on the National and Arizona Political Climate based on polling results.
Mike is a thought leader in public opinion tracking and analysis, known for being a trailblazer in his field. He found a passion for politics while working for an Arizona Congressman before starting NPI. Since then, he has been deemed “a preeminent pollster in the Southwest” (- NBC News) by regularly conducting public and voter sentiment work throughout Arizona, Nevada, and Utah, as well as a trusted source source for public opinion polling nationwide.
Highlights of Mike’s presentation follows:
Arizona leadership has moved from favoring Republican to leaning Democrat:
Biden job approval rating among Arizonans fell to lowest point before withdrawal with 62% of voters looking for change.
Two pocket-book and two social issues are Top 4 issues for Arizona including inflation, immigration, affordable housing and abortion
We are witnessing the largest coalition shift between the two parties since the civil rights movement
At first glance, U.S. Senate seat appears a dead heat, but when adding personality factor, Lake lags Trump in key voter groups (Republicans, 55+, Women and Suburbanites)
AZ is ground zero for 2024 race due to spending and battle for electoral college votes in the 5 key states:
Very narrow margins in the State Legislature could flip the balance of power from Republicans to Democrat
For more information on this presentation and Mike’s insights, please contact:
The next Pinal Partnership breakfast will be September 27th at the Town of Florence Library with Pinal County’s Prop 486 Transportation vote as the topic. More details to follow soon.
Visit https://pinalpartnership.com/meetings-and-events/ for more information.
